Setbacks Lead China to Tone Down Anti-us Rhetoric
April 12th, 2010Bank
The rhetorical respite comes as President Hu Jintao heads to Washington this week, after months of friction with the U.S., and was in full evidence this weekend at an international meeting designed to showcase Chinas growing reach as an economic and diplomatic powerhouse.
Senior Chinese officials repeatedly sidestepped major issues roiling the global economy. Asked about the Chinese currency - which Washington wants to see rise in value to right trade imbalances - the central bank governor said now was not the time to discuss it. When it comes to regulating the risky Wall Street practices that contributed to the global economic meltdown, Chinas chief banking regulator sheathed his former critiques and instead called for teamwork and more financial prudence.
“I dont want to poke my nose into other peoples courtyards,” banking regulator Liu Mingkang said Sunday at the Boao Forum for Asia, a government-sponsored annual gathering for the political and economic elite on tropical Hainan island.
The meeting featured the now usual Chinese calls against trade protectionism in the West, including one from Chinas vice president and presumptive next leader, Xi Jinping.
But the tenor was a far cry from last years Boao meeting, held at the depths of the economic crisis. Then, Liu and others directed barbs at the U.S., calling for a new financial world order and indirectly threatening that China might stop buying U.S. Treasury notes that help finance Washingtons growing deficit. The elbowing continued for much of the year as Beijing resisted U.S. and European calls to halt North Koreas and Irans nuclear programs and take bolder steps to curb the threat of climate change.
While the turnaround in Beijings attitude may be temporary, the change points to indecision among the leadership about Chinas role in the world, especially its crucial but fraught ties with the U.S., and about keeping the Chinese economy humming amid a still anemic global recovery.
“We are in a time of reassessment by Beijing about Chinas foreign policy,” said Russell Leigh Moses, a Beijing-based political analyst. “There is no overarching slogan or concept guiding the decision-making process in foreign affairs these days here.”
Though Washington likely welcomes the toned-down rhetoric, Chinas overall reticence befuddles the U.S. and others looking to Beijing to provide constructive leadership. The countrys economy, after all, will soon be the second largest and is increasingly entwined in the world order.
Though China warded off the worst of the economic turmoil, it now feels the aftereffects of its remedies, $1.8 trillion in bank lending and government stimulus.
With the economy awash in money, housing prices are soaring and inflation is rising. The domestic demand created by supercharged investment may flag as the stimulus eases, leaving China still partly in need of export markets in the U.S. and Europe. The Chinese currency - which the government pegged to the U.S. dollar at the start of the crisis - has been attacked by the U.S., Europe and other trading partners as undervalued, thereby allowing China to flood the world with cheap exports.
Worries are growing, too, that some of the bank loans may sour. Liu, the banking regulator, announced an aggressive plan Sunday to assess the safety of loans to local government-backed investment companies.
Those problems loom as Chinese President Hu arrives in Washington on Monday to attend a summit on nuclear safety. Its an issue Beijing dislikes being out front on. With a nuclear arsenal estimated at about 100 warheads, China says the U.S. and Russia should lead on disarmament, given their huge stockpiles. Beijing has also been reluctant to push ally and neighbor North Korea or trade partner Iran, a willing supplier of oil and gas to China.
At the Boao meeting, senior Chinese officials parried calls from Geithners predecessor, Henry Paulson, among others to mount a higher-profile, energetic response to global problems. Central bank governor Zhou Xiaoquan said Beijing still followed three-decade-old policy guidance “to keep a low profile” on foreign affairs.
“The Chinese voices may become higher and higher,” Zhou said. “But we respect the global players from other countries.”
CF Reporter: Abir Shaki
